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General presentation. Qualitative grading (e.g., ‘very promising’, ‘quite unlikely’) is pervasive in scientific evaluations and policy recommendations by expert panels, yet its formal foundations and aggregation methods remain underexplored. This project addresses this gap by applying formal resources dispersed across formal (social) epistemology and social choice theory, developing a novel theoretical framework for qualitative judgments (grades) and their aggregation, and applying them to science.
The project gathers a wonderful international team:
Marion Vorms
(Paris 1, France)
Issam Aldahman
(Bochum, Germany)
Olivér Ujvárossy
(Poitiers, France)
Daniil Khaitovich
(Poitiers, France)
A. Develop an epistemology of qualitative judgments (“grades”) which apply to scientific items (such as hypotheses, questions, research projects) in various contexts (such as evaluation of pursuitworthiness, evaluation of acceptance for the purposes of policy guidance, or as ratified scientific knowledge) and develop corresponding rationality norms for epistemic grading.
B. Develop a framework of qualitative grade aggregation for epistemic purposes, present a logical map of grade aggregation procedures by establishing impossibility and possibility results, and normatively study the dynamics of epistemic grade aggregation in light of new evidence.
C. Apply the framework to different scientific contexts, focusing on judgment aggregation and deliberation in challenging situations such as expert disagreement or when facing time constraints and institutional pressures, in order to make new (and better) recommendations for aggregating judgments.
D. Disseminate research findings and solicit feedback from relevant stakeholders, such as expert agencies.
Traditional philosophical approaches to modeling beliefs in science, which typically rely on binary beliefs or probabilistic frameworks, fail to adequately capture the role of qualitative grading in scientific contexts. These approaches overlook important aspects of how qualitative judgments function in expert evaluations and decision-making. We hypothesize that enriching the literature with a formal treatment of qualitative grading will offer a more accurate and applicable framework for scientific evaluation. Methodologically, we propose that qualitative grading can be precisely formalized using rigorous tools, which can inform and enhance its role in scientific practice.